Market Overview

Apparently No One Told Domino's The Food Industry Is Struggling

Share:
Apparently No One Told Domino's The Food Industry Is Struggling
Related DPZ
Mike Ilitch: Billionaire Entrepreneur, Pizza Magnate And Detroit Icon
Jim Cramer Gives His Opinion On Ford, Domino's Pizza And Centurylink
Stocks Close Up, Apple Still Crisp; Did Nvidia Show A Bottoming Signal? (Investor's Business Daily)

Domino's Pizza, Inc. (NYSE: DPZ) seems to be in a different world while the U.S. fast food sector is struggling. The company’s third-quarter earnings beat the Street view on its innovative digital strategies and strong comp growth.

Quarter, In Review

Domino’s reported third-quarter EPS of $0.96, above expectations for $0.89–$0.92 and driven by stronger comps and segment margins, which lapped last year’s higher insurance expense. U.S. comp was 13.0 percent, above expectation of 9–10 percent, and Int'l comp was 6.6 percent, modestly higher than the expected 6– 6.5 percent.

“The comp propels unit growth, which continues to track above LT guidance. Beyond fundamentals, the ~100 percent franchised model supports elevated leverage (currently the higher end of their 3–6x LT Debt/EBITDA target) and ultimately a return of cash to holders,” Barclays analyst Jeffrey Bernstein wrote in a note.

Related Link: Domino's Pizza's Q3 Demonstrates Consistent Market Share Gains

Bernstein sees 2016 U.S. comp of 10 percent (along with 7 percent in 2017) relative to the 2–5 percent long-term guide, helped by technology, loyalty and remodels.

Rating And Justification

The analyst, who has an Equal-Weight rating on the stock, also projects 2016 int'l comp of 7 percent (along with 6 percent in 2017) is at the high end of the 3–6 percent long-term guide. Bernstein forecast 8–9 percent worldwide unit growth (in '16 and '17), above company’s 5–7 percent long-term guide.

“While the brand continues to outperform the industry, the question remains the price to pay for such strength, especially in an otherwise low-growth (1–2 percent) & extremely competitive pizza category,” Bernstein noted.

The analyst raised his price target to $144 from $132 and increased full-year EPS view to $4.30 from $4.17.

At time of writing, shares of Domino’s had risen 2.41 percent on the day to trade at $163.30.

Full ratings data available on Benzinga Pro.

Do you have ideas for articles/interviews you'd like to see more of on Benzinga? Please email feedback@benzinga.com with your best article ideas. One person will be randomly selected to win a $20 Amazon gift card!

Latest Ratings for DPZ

DateFirmActionFromTo
Jan 2017KeyBancUpgradesSector WeightOverweight
Oct 2016NomuraMaintainsNeutral
Oct 2016BTIG ResearchMaintainsBuy

View More Analyst Ratings for DPZ
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Analyst Color Earnings News Guidance Price Target Reiteration Restaurants Analyst Ratings Best of Benzinga

 

Related Articles (DPZ)

View Comments and Join the Discussion!