Goldman Sachs Delivers Q3 Beat, But BMO Still Prefers Citigroup And Morgan Stanley

BMO Capital Markets thinks that while
Goldman Sachs Group IncGS
delivered positive EPS surprise of 24 percent in the third quarter, the brokerage continues to favor
Citigroup IncC
and
Morgan StanleyMS
shares. The firm retains the Market Perform rating but slashed its price objective from $214 to $200 citing modest capital-adjusted growth.

The revised price tag implies a potential upside reward of about 15 percent from the current levels. The target price is arrived at based on two-year-forward core EPS outlook, dividends and capital adjusted growth in the next two-year period.

Related Link: Technical Alert: Goldman Sachs Adds To Tuesday's Gains

Analyst James Fotheringham boosted the core EPS estimates by 8 percent from $14.24 to $15.39 for the year 2016. Similarly, for the year 2017, he lifted the estimate from $17.53 to $18.47 and for the year 2018 from $19.86 to $20.46. This reflects a 5 percent and 3 percent growth, respectively.

Analyst's Take

In a research note, the brokerage said, "Nearterm earnings upgrades (i.e., in 2016E and 2017E) are inspired by higher than previously forecast net trading revenues and expected compensation leverage; longer-term earnings upgrades (i.e., in 2017E and 2018E) stem from a lower recurring tax rate (now 28 percent) and an improved outlook for AuM growth in Investment Management."

On October 18, Goldman Sachs delivered core EPS of $4.73 for the third quarter, exceeding BMO Capital's $3.81 and consensus' $3.82 estimations. FICC trading revenue, which witnessed 49 percent year-over-year growth, was the standout.

At Time Of Writing ...

  • Citi was up 1.1 percent at $49.53.
  • Goldman Sachs was up 1.49 percent at $175.21.
  • Morgan Stanley was up 1.07 percent at $32.67.

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Posted In: Analyst ColorEarningsNewsPrice TargetReiterationAnalyst RatingsMoversBMO Capital MarketsJames Fotheringham
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