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Argus Elevates Deere Price Target To $98, Expecting Margins To Rebound


Argus raised its price target on Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) shares by $8 to $98, as it projects a margin rebound in the next 2-3 years.

The brokerage, which has the stock in its Focus List and rates it Buy, said Deere's earnings have been steadily declining for several quarters due to currency and commodity headwinds. Argus says both currency and commodities trends may be near inflection points.

"[W]e think margins are near all-time lows and expect them to rebound over the next 2-3 years as conditions improve. This well-managed company's stock is now trading near attractive valuation levels given the depressed industry backdrop," analyst John Eade wrote in a note.

Deere reported better-than-expected quarterly EPS of $1.55. However, the company expects FY16 sales to decline 10 percent, slightly less than its previous forecast.

But the company raised its full year net income estimate to $1.35 billion from $1.2 billion. Deere's estimate implies a net margin of approximately 5.6 percent. Eade also increased his FY16 EPS estimate to $4.45 from $3.93.

"Our FY16 estimate also implies a net margin of 5.6%, well below the company's five-year average of 8.3% and not far from the 10-year low of 4.2% — suggesting room for improvement over the next several years," Eade highlighted.

Eade noted that the shares appear attractively valued at 19-times his FY17 EPS estimate of $4.52, compared to a 21-year historical average range of 13-24 times.

The revised price target of $98 implies a potential upside of 11 percent over Monday's close.

Latest Ratings for DE

Nov 2019MaintainsNeutral
Oct 2019MaintainsOverweight
Sep 2019MaintainsOutperform

View More Analyst Ratings for DE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Argus John EadeAnalyst Color Earnings News Price Target Analyst Ratings


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