Skip to main content

Market Overview

Axiom's Johnson Says U.S. Steel Mills Have Gone Too Far With Current Regulations; Maintains Bearish Outlook

Axiom's Johnson Says U.S. Steel Mills Have Gone Too Far With Current Regulations; Maintains Bearish Outlook

United States Steel Corporation (NYSE: X) reported its second-quarter results after Tuesday's market close, which proved to be better than expected.

United States Steel wasn't alone in reporting a better-than-expected earnings report, and many of its peers also surprised to the upside.

Benzinga reached out to Axiom's Gordon Johnson to discuss what is going on in the steel sector.

Gordon Johnson On Steel

According to Johnson, steel investors shouldn't hold on to an optimistic view moving forward. The analyst stated that the second quarter of a calendar year typically marks "peak optimism" in the steel space.

Related Link: Credit Suisse Sees 26% Upside In U.S. Steel

Meanwhile, auto demand (a key sector client of most steel clients) is "weakening," imports are on the rise, oil prices are moving lower and there will be an impact from the Brexit vote — "no matter how small."

Johnson added that the market is "ignoring" all of these industry headwinds and it won't last forever.

The analyst also suggested that the dividends offered by steel companies are not safe for the foreseeable future. Many steel companies are highly leveraged and operate with high fixed costs associated with plant maintenance.

Finally, Johnson doesn't see any new regulation that could support steel prices. He stated that imported steel into the United States is "now seen as on par" with U.S. produced steel to the point where it is "hard for steel mills not to buy imports."

"The US mills have went too far, and now there will be a flood of imports in 2H16 pushing steel prices lower yet again," the analyst concluded. "Steel is a commodity, and the US is not the price setter. It is the price taker."

Full ratings data available on Benzinga Pro.

Do you have ideas for articles/interviews you'd like to see more of on Benzinga? Please email with your best article ideas. One person will be randomly selected to win a $20 Amazon gift card!

Latest Ratings for X

Feb 2021Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight
Jan 2021Deutsche bankUpgradesSellBuy
Dec 2020Morgan StanleyInitiates Coverage OnEqual-Weight

View More Analyst Ratings for X
View the Latest Analyst Ratings


Related Articles (X)

View Comments and Join the Discussion!

Posted-In: Analyst Color Earnings Short Ideas Commodities Reiteration Markets Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas Best of Benzinga

Don't Miss Any Updates!
News Directly in Your Inbox
Subscribe to:
Benzinga Premarket Activity
Get pre-market outlook, mid-day update and after-market roundup emails in your inbox.
Market in 5 Minutes
Everything you need to know about the market - quick & easy.
Fintech Focus
A daily collection of all things fintech, interesting developments and market updates.
Everything you need to know about the latest SPAC news.
Thank You

Thank you for subscribing! If you have any questions feel free to call us at 1-877-440-ZING or email us at