Citi Raises Target On Chipotle To $605

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Citi's Gregory R. Badishkanian has maintained a Buy rating on
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
CMG
, while raising the price target from $551 to $605. The company reported its 4Q same store sales in-line with its preannouncement in early January of a 14.6 percent decline. The EPS for the quarter, however, beat expectations and the guidance and included benefits worth 31¢ from lower stock comp. "SSS pressure has continued into January and 1Q EPS are expected to be around breakeven," Badishkanian stated, while mentioning, "While the co plans to step up marketing and promotional spending next week following the recent conclusion of the CDC investigation, we expect any recovery to be somewhat slow." Chipotle Mexican Grill plans to undertake further marketing and promotion from the second week of February, in an attempt to win customers back. The company's data shows that "consumer awareness of the incident is high, and investments will be 1H weighted but could continue depending on performance," according to the Citi report. In the meantime, management is focused on staffing at high levels in order to deliver returning customers "a top class experience." The EPS estimates for 2016 and 2017 have been lowered by $5.01 and $2.69, respectively.
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Posted In: Analyst ColorLong IdeasPrice TargetAnalyst RatingsTrading IdeasCitiGregory R. Badishkanian
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