Should Kohl's Guidance Worry Long-Term Investors, Or Is It Much Ado About Nothing?

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Investors in
Kohl's CorporationKSS
saw some very mild relief over Monday's trading session. After plunging nearly 18 percent on Thursday of last week amid
lowered fiscal year 2016 guidance
, the stock rebounded more than a percent Monday. UBS analyst Michael Binetti issued a research note early Monday morning, certainly not helping bulls in the stock. The analyst, in the title of the note, questioned, "Was KSS 4Q Guide Down Weather or a Signal About Longer-Term Trends?" Binetti reduced his fourth-quarter EPS estimate from $1.95 to $1.58 and his FY15 estimate from $4.37 to $4 even. The analyst consensus estimate shows analysts have modeled for quarterly earnings of about $1.57 per share and FY15 EPS around $4.03. Reflecting the lowered earnings estimates, Binetti trimmed his price target on shares of Kohl's from $49 to $45. "We believe KSS ended 4Q with high inventories, which will likely further pressure 1Q16—which, in combination with a slow exit rate from January, will likely lead to a more conservative and back-weighted FY16 EPS guide," according to Binetti.
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