Here's How Ford Has Historically Performed After Earnings

• Wall Street is expecting EPS of $0.45 from Ford Motor Company F when it reports Tuesday morning.
• History suggests that the stock will likely not experience a large move in Tuesday trading.
• Ford shares have already climbed 16.7 percent over the past month.

Shareholders of Ford Motor Company are gearing up for Q3 earnings due out on Tuesday before the market opens. Here’s a rundown of what investors can expect from earnings and from Ford’s stock.

Earnings projections
According to Estimize, consensus Wall Street earnings expectations for Ford are EPS of $0.45 on revenue of $35.37 billion. These numbers would represent about an 8.0 percent year-over-year increase in revenue and an EPS that nearly doubles Q3 2014’s EPS of $0.24.

Earnings history
If history is any indication, it’s likely that Ford’s share price will not be experiencing any of the wild earnings-related swings that accompany some of the more volatile big-name stocks on Wall Street. In fact, the average return for Ford’s stock over its past 10 earnings dates has been only 0.21 percent.

However, the average magnitude of Ford’s earnings swings on earnings day is a bit higher at 1.77 percent. Despite positive returns on seven of its past ten earnings dates, Ford’s two biggest earnings day moves have been the 3.31 percent drop in April 2014 and the 4.31 percent drop in Q3 of last year. The stock’s largest positive move on its past 10 earnings days has been a 2.7 percent gain following Q4 earnings last year.

Strong momentum
Ford shareholders are hoping that the stock’s strong recent momentum will remain intact following earnings. Ford has climbed 16.7 percent in the past month. Despite the big gain, Ford is only up 1.8 percent year-to-date.

Disclosure: the author holds no position in the stocks mentioned.