Market Overview

5 Weeks Until Judgement Day In Macau

5 Weeks Until Judgement Day In Macau

In a new report, analysts at Deutsche Bank discuss the economics of the new Cotai strip resort properties being developed in Macau.

With the May 27 Galaxy opening just five weeks away, analysts are not convinced that new Cotai properties will be able to pull their own weight when it comes to increasing revenue.

Cotai Expansion

The latest phase of construction on the Galaxy Macau property is just the first in a string of gaming construction projects to be completed in Cotai.

Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd (NASDAQ: MPEL) is expected to open its Studio City project in Cotai in 3Q15. Las Vegas Sands Corp (NYSE: LVS), MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM) and Wynn Resort, Limited (NASDAQ: WYNN) all either have projects currently in construction or projects planned for Cotai in the near future.

Related Link: J.P. Morgan Trims Macau Estimates, Maintains Overweight Rating

Worth The Investment?

Deutsche Bank analysts question the belief that the opening of the new properties will lead to a massive influx of gaming revenue.

While many Macau bulls subscribe to the “If you build it they will come” mantra when it comes to Cotai, Deutsche Bank analysts see “more losers than winners in the medium term with the Cotai pipeline build out.” They believe that the new resorts will produce significant new fixed costs for operators without driving “meaningful” incremental demand.

Analysts believe that consensus EBITDA forecasts for Macau through 2017 are 23-36 percent too high.

Stock Picks

Deutsche Bank analysts see Wynn and MGM as the best-positioned Macau names moving forward and have Buy ratings on each stock. They currently have a Hold rating on Las Vegas Sands.

Disclosure: the author owns shares of Melco Crown Entertainment.

Latest Ratings for MPEL

Feb 2017Morgan StanleyUpgradesEqual-WeightOverweight
Jan 2017NomuraUpgradesReduceNeutral
Jan 2017Bank of AmericaUpgradesNeutralBuy

View More Analyst Ratings for MPEL
View the Latest Analyst Ratings


Related Articles (MPEL + LVS)

View Comments and Join the Discussion!

Posted-In: Cotai Macau gaming stocks Macau stocksAnalyst Color Previews Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas Best of Benzinga

Latest Ratings

BIIBRBC CapitalMaintains277.0
RLICompass PointInitiates Coverage On90.0
CSCOWolfe ResearchDowngrades42.0
GILDRBC CapitalMaintains86.0
View the Latest Analytics Ratings
Don't Miss Any Updates!
News Directly in Your Inbox
Subscribe to:
Benzinga Premarket Activity
Get pre-market outlook, mid-day update and after-market roundup emails in your inbox.
Market in 5 Minutes
Everything you need to know about the market - quick & easy.
Fintech Focus
A daily collection of all things fintech, interesting developments and market updates.
Thank You

Thank you for subscribing! If you have any questions feel free to call us at 1-877-440-ZING or email us at