Were Tesla's Results Disappointing? Deutsche Bank Thinks So

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Rod Lache of Deutsche Bank on Thursday commented in a note that
Tesla Motors'
TSLA
fourth quarter results and preliminary fiscal 2015 guidance were weaker than expected and disappointing. "Overall, we expect investors to be disappointed," Lache wrote. "While Tesla is a longer term story, execution of nearer term targets is critically important to driving investor confidence, even if execution is measured against very aggressive growth targets." The analyst adds that foreign exchange remains "by far the most significant" source of downside as the nine percent decline in the Euro since early December would on its own have a 300 basis point impact on gross margins. However, Lache does state that a long-term thesis that Electric Vehicles will achieve cost parity with Internal Combustion vehicles in the not too distant future remains unchanged and that Tesla is "well positioned" when this occurs.

Estimate Changes

Lache is now projecting fiscal 2015 deliveries of 55,000 (versus 60,000 previously) and a 27.0 percent gross margin (versus 30.5 percent previously). The analyst's full year earnings per share estimates were lowered to to $0.52 from $3.10 while revenue estimates are now lowered to $5.7814 billion from $6.2528 billion. Looking forward, Lache is lowering his 2020 earnings per share estimates to $20 from $27. Finally, shares remain Buy rated with a price target lowered to $245 from a previous $310.
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Posted In: Analyst ColorAnalyst RatingsRod LacheTeslatesla motors
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