Market Overview

Credit Suisse Analyst Sees Exceptions Among Latin American Banks


Slower growth and lower commodity prices spell diminished returns for the Latin American banking sector, an analyst said Wednesday.

But Credit Suisse's Marcelo Telles said certain institutions in the region "still offer attractive potential."

Telles upgraded both Mexico's Grupo Financiero Inbursa SAB de CV (OTC: GPFOY) and Banco Santander-Chile (ADR) (NYSE: BSAC) to Outperform from Neutral.

The sector as a whole, however, will show slower-than-expected earnings growth and Telles sees consensus estimates falling along with commodities prices and a bull market for the dollar.

Although investors often pursue growth premiums in developing markets, Latin American banks "aren't the high-growth places they used to be," Telles said, noting that loan growth has been slowing in the region since 2012.

Preferred countries currently: Mexico, Chile and Peru.

Economic ties to the U.S. cushion Mexico while Chile, although exposed to falling copper prices, is a net importer of oil and stands to gain from lower costs. Peru, meanwhile, will see fast export growth from a relatively low level.

Least loved are Brazil and Columbia, where Telles sees the "worst risk-reward" ratio.

The analyst also upgraded Grupo Fin Banorte SE (OTC: GBOOF) and Santander Mexico Financial Group SAB de CV (NYSE: BSMX), to Neutral from Underperform.

Telles downgraded Bancolombia SA (NYSE: CIB) to Neutral from Outperform.

Latest Ratings for BSAC

Mar 2019JP MorganDowngradesOverweightNeutral
Sep 2018JP MorganUpgradesNeutralOverweight
Nov 2016Credit SuisseUpgradesNeutralOutperform

View More Analyst Ratings for BSAC
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Posted-In: Credit Suisse Marcelo TelleAnalyst Color Upgrades Downgrades Analyst Ratings


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