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Belus Capital's Brian Sozzi upgraded shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
CMG from Hold to Buy in a research note Wednesday morning. The analyst raised his price target from $500.00 to $600.00.
Sozzi's note follows
fourth-quarter results from Chipotle on January 30th. The analyst highlighted an attractive PE multiple and call action which is signaling the stock is "destined to hit $1,000," arguing "Chipotle is in the good graces of Wall Street, deservedly so."
The Belus Capital analyst cited a number of near-term and longer-term fundamental justifications for the Street's optimism. Sozzi sees strength
today due to:
- increasingly quicker line throughput (during peak times people are getting onto, and off of, the line faster);
- intensely positive customer response to new restaurant locations (could see this via photos on a Chipotle keyword search on Twitter); and
- a switch to a non-GMO menu that in our view has begun to already appear in same-restaurant sales (people feel better about eating at Chipotle and share with others, personally or on social media, that positive experience).
Sozzi sees strength in the
future due to:
- an accelerated pace of domestic new Chipotle openings;
- a careful introduction of new menu items (sofritas; we expect some form of broader breakfast platform in short older);
- the start of a restaurant remodeling campaign to stay fresh and relevant, and capture more of the post-work crowd;
- a high probability of a menu price increase of 3%-5% by mid-2014 that bolsters same-restaurant sales and more than counteracts food inflation and ingredient (GMO initiative) investment;
- new concepts are being rolled out thoughtfully as to preserve the cultural element that has made Chipotle successful; and
- investments in mobile payment that will further speed up throughput.
Chipotle shares are trading up about 0.3 percent to $546.50 ahead of the opening bell. Sozzi's new price target represents potential upside of about 10 percent from where the stock is currently trading.
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