The Direxion ETF: For investors that view the glass as half-full, the Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:NAIL) offer the ultimate in speculation. A leveraged exchange-traded fund, NAIL seeks a return that is 300% of the performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index.
However, as a 3X-leveraged ETF, NAIL carries significant volatility risks. Notably, Direxion states that the fund should not be expected to provide three times the benchmark index's cumulative return for periods greater than a day. That's because exposure lasting longer than a day may expose the trader to valuation decay due to the effects of daily compounding.
Nevertheless, weekly returns of the NAIL fund over the trailing five years reflects an upward bias. Of the past 261 weeks, 146 weeks saw a positive return, reflecting a success ratio of 55.94%. What's more, there have been 12 weeks (not including last week) where NAIL lost 20% of value or more. Of this dataset, eight of the following weeks generated positive returns, with an average performance of 25.55% up.
Interestingly, in the business week ending Dec. 20, the 3X bull fund lost 21.66% of value.
The NAIL ETF: Although the leveraged housing fund was looking strong up until late November, economic and political uncertainties saw the ETF go negative for the year.
Featured image by Oleksandr Pidvalnyi from Pixabay.
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