American FX Outlook: The US Dollar Retreats Lower As Treasury Yields Stall

This article originally appeared on FXStreet.

What you need to know before markets open

  • The US Treasury yields pushed higher toward 3.0 percent level on Monday supporting the US Dollar, but the move got exhausted on Tuesday with yields stabilizing at around 2.96 percent.
  • The headline German IFO business climate indicator retreated lower in April falling below market expectations.
  • The US house prices and the new home sales are considered a rather second tier macroeconomic indicators that are unlikely to move the market.

Tuesday’s market moving events

  • The US S&P/Case Shiller house price index is expected to rise 6.3 percent y/y in February.
  • The US news home sales are seen rising 1.9 percent m/m in March to 630K up from 618 K in the previous month.

Major market movers

  • The US Dollar retreated lower on Tuesday as the US Treasury yields stall at around 2.96 percent
  • With the lack of macro drivers, the corrective market sentiment prevails on the currency market.

Earlier in Asia/Europe

  • The Australian CPI increased 0.5 percent Q/Q while increasing 2.0 percent y/y in Q1 2018, in line with expectations.
  • The Bank of Japan measure of inflation increased 0.7 percent y/y in  March.
  • Swiss trade balance reached a surplus of CHF 6.5 billion in Q1 2018, down from 8.2 in Q4 2017.
  • German IFO business climate indicator decelerated above expectations to 102.1 in April from 103.3 in March after the pool of surveyed companies was increased to 9,000 including services.
  • The UK public sector net borrowing decreased by £ 260 million in March, the lowest March net borrowing since 2004.
  • The UK CBI industrial trends remained stable at 4 percent in April.
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