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Kyle Bass is speaking at the Value Investing Congress and he is saying that Japan will default on its sovereign debt.
Kyle Bass believes it's only a matter of when, not if. Bass notes that debt servicing is going to exceed revenue.
Bass notes that Japan's cash expenditures for social services are $20 trillion, and its revenues are $24 trillion.
He doesn't see how Japan can fund itself in the next 2 or 3 years. Barring some kind of scheme, Japan will default.
He doesn't see Japan allowing integration with Japan or Korea through immigration, and will ultimately default.
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