Trade of the Day: Betting Against the House (Short CZR) - 10/18/13

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Short

Ceasars Entertainment Corp (CZR)


Friday, October 18, 2013


Company Symbol Industry Rating YTD % Gain Target Stop Ceasars Entertainment Corp CZR Casinos & Gaming 9.5 +190.31% $17.36 $20.88 (cover)
For more free, daily swing-trading ideas and set-ups, check out SoTM's Trade of the Day hosted on Marketfy. Stock Rating:

The Stock Rating indicates the combined score of our proprietary Earning Strength and Company Performance models. The rating scale is 0 - 10 with 10 being the highest. Caesars Entertainment Corp - Last 30 Days
Caesars Entertainment Corp - Last 3 Months
Caesars Entertainment Corp - Last 6 Months
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The Trade:


Caesars Entertainment Corp presents a solid short opportunity this morning. The stock recently fell roughly 23% from Monday's close to Tuesday's intraday lows on an announcement that the company was issuing $1 billion of first lien bonds at an 8% yield, on top of $1.15 of second lien bonds at an 11% yield. Wall St. doesn't like companies raising money, and though CZR was able to recover intraday losses on Tuesday, the damage was still done by the big gap down.

The stock tried to recover through the week, and posted an encouraging session on Wednesday. However, Thursday came and went with a lackluster session for CZR, and now on Friday it is becoming clear that the stock is going to break down. On top of CZR's recent price action misfortune, it doesn't help that the Casinos & Gaming stock is up +190.31% YTD as of yesterday's close, which is absurd.

CZR is currently sitting at its only short-term support, right around $19.50. Should the stock break down below this level (which it is currently doing as I type this report), the next stop given its current downward trajectory is intermediate-term support south of $18.

Given investors' reaction to the issuance of bonds, horrible short-term price action, a ludicrous YTD % gain, and a technical picture that is breaking down, CZR is a good short play at current prices back down to the $17.50 area. Should the stock make an unlikely turn-around today and close above $20.88, it would be a good idea to cover. Otherwise, CZR is a compelling short this morning.

When to Enter the Trade:

Short at the current price (~$19.53).

When to Exit the Trade:

At a close above $20.88 (Cover) / A close below $17.50 (Profit-Taking)

Company Profile:

Caesars Entertainment Corporation provides casino entertainment services. Its casino entertainment facilities include land-based casinos, riverboat or dockside casinos, managed casinos, combination greyhound racetrack and casino, combination thoroughbred racetrack and casino, and harness racetrack and casino, hotel and convention space, restaurants, and non-gaming entertainment facilities. Its resorts operate primarily under the Harrah's, Caesars and Horseshoe brand names. It also owns the World Series of Poker and the London Clubs International family of casinos.

Disclosure:

At the time of publication the editor and affiliated companies own the following positions: None

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