The current pullback from the early December high has the S&P 500 down five percent and below its 50-day moving average for the first time since October. While the close below the moving average for the second consecutive day on Tuesday, December 16 is a red flag, it is not the ultimate sell signal. The last few pullbacks in the index have breached the indicator for a few days before the buyers jumped into the market.
The 50-day moving average is an important technical tool because it is a line that can indicate the trend of the stock or index visually. It represents the average price of the stock over the last 50 days of trading.
There are a number of sector ETFs that are sitting on or near their 50-day moving averages. If they can hold near the indicator in the next few days, it could result in a high probability buying opportunity.
iShares Dow Jones Transportation Average
The ETF has fallen 5 percent since the last week in November. The pullback has been accompanied by higher than average volume, which is not a positive technical sign. However, the transportation ETF managed to close just above the moving average on December 16, which is constructive. If the ETF can hold the $157 area in the coming days, it could be time to start to build a position.
Select Sector Financial SPDR
Select Sector Industrial SPDR
Select Sector Consumer Staples
Investors interested in taking advantage of the current pullback as a buying opportunity could use the 50-day moving average as one strategy for choosing ETFs or stocks. The above-mentioned sector ETFs are at levels where by the end of the week they will either be buying opportunities or they should be eliminated as potential candidates.
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