Today's Hewlett Packard Enterprise Might Be 2012's HP

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Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi, Jr maintained an Outperform rating for Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co HPE, with a price target of $19. He mentioned that the company seems to be what HP Inc HPQ was in 2012, with “potentially much running room” for its stock.

In several ways, the set-up for Hewlett Packard Enterprise is similar to that for HPQ before the company split up. HPQ’s shares troughed at $12 and rose to $40 between November 2012 and December 2014, analyst Toni Sacconaghi noted.

Related Link: Hewlett Packard Enterprise Has Crazy Upside, But Didn't You Know That Already?

He explained that the parallels between the two companies were:

  • Both stocks were “extremely inexpensive” at their troughs
  • HPQ recorded revenue declines in seven of nine quarters during revaluation, suggesting that revenue growth was not “a pre-cursor for a re-rating”
  • Improvement in free cash flow was the main driver of HPQ's re-rating. HPQ was able to improve FCF from $5 billion to $11 billion. Sacconaghi expects Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s FCF can improve from $1 billion to $3.5 billion, mainly on the back of margin expansion at Services
  • HPQ laid off 30,000 employees, while Hewlett Packard Enterprise has plans to downsize by a similar number.

“We see HPE as a "self-help story" at a very attractive price. Despite recent run-up, we see further potential upside,” the analyst commented.

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Posted In: Analyst ColorLong IdeasReiterationAnalyst RatingsTechTrading IdeasBernsteinToni Sacconaghi
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