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In a report published Monday, Piper Jaffray analysts downgraded the rating on
Yelp IncYELP from Overweight to Neutral. The price target was lowered from $70 to $46. The analysts believe that a potential takeout of the company is already priced into the shares.
"We believe there is a 65% chance Yelp eventually gets acquired, at a valuation at or slightly below the current share price," the analysts said. In fact, the stock has risen about 24 percent since speculations of a sale of the company emerged.
The Wall Street Journal reported two weeks ago that Yelp was looking to sell itself for over $3.5 billion. The current share price set the enterprise value at about $3.3 billion, with market cap of $3.5 billion.
However, the analysts believe that due to the recent headwinds faced by the company, an acquirer was unlikely to pay a significant premium for the purchase. "We think a reasonable high-end assumption is that a Yelp acquisition would fetch $60/share," the Piper Jaffray report stated.
The analysts believe that the odds of Yelp being acquired is about 65 percent, with the most likely potential acquirers being
Priceline Group, Inc. and
Facebook IncFB.
In addition, given that investors have been waiting a long time for the acquisition of Yelp, as well as the 24 percent increase in share price following speculations of a deal, the analysts expect the company to "retrace near term to closer to $38 (pre-takeout speculation price) if a deal did not occur."
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