Market Overview

Morgan Stanley Says Go Long S&P 500, Short 10-Year Treasuries

Related MS
Why ZTO Express' IPO Has Failed To Sparkle
How The SEC's Enforcement Division Is Responding To Cybersecurity Challenges
Google Taking Car For A Spin? (Seeking Alpha)

Existing Home Sales month over month will be released Thursday at 10 a.m. EDT.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) believes the readers of its report should short 10-year U.S. Treasuries and long the S&P 500. The bank uses a proprietary Real-Time Tracker to predict what Existing Home Sales will be. The RTT estimate is for +2.6 percent or 5.17 million versus consensus expectations of -0.4 percent or 5.02 million.

(Click to Enlarge)

The reasoning for the firm's trade view:

"In the event of a data surprise (of 2% or more), our tick data analysis (5-year history) suggests a 29-bp average price reaction for the S&P 500 and an 8-bp average price reaction (or 1-bp average yield reaction) in 10-year US Treasuries".

(Click to Enlarge)

Latest Ratings for MS

Oct 2016GuggenheimUpgradesNeutralBuy
Oct 2016CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
Oct 2016Sandler O'NeillDowngradesBuyHold

View More Analyst Ratings for MS
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Analyst Color Long Ideas Short Ideas Economics Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas


Related Articles (MS)

View Comments and Join the Discussion!