Tobacco Stocks Slip On $23.6 Billion Verdict; Analysts comment

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Monday's pre-market marks the first trading since a Florida jury awarded the widow of a longtime smoker $23.6 billion in punitive damages on top of $16.8 million in compensatory damages in a suit against Reynolds American Inc.
RAI
. Although this decision is likely to be overturned when appealed, the Street has not reacted favorably. Shares of Reynolds dropped as much as four percent from the previous days close before getting a little relief. Reynolds is not the only tobacco stock trading down on the news, In fact Lorillard, Inc.
LO
, Alria Group Inc
MO
, and Phillip Morris
PM
have dipped ~1, ~0.5, and ~1 percent, respectively, early into Monday's market session. Stifel analyst, Christopher Growe has said that the verdict appears to "complicate" the Reynolds acquisition of Lorillard in the short-term during the appellate process. Speaking on the acquisition, Morgan Stanley analyst, David Adelman says Reynolds only generates attractive returns on the deal if you take an "extremely long-term" view. He says for a tobacco acquisition to be successful the buyer needs to realize "substantial" cost synergies or accelerate top-line growth. Looking at each companies position in the deal, Adelman says he understands both Lorillard's and Imperial's decision but is less supportive of Reynolds. He commented, "When looking at the purchase and the sale, Reynolds is essentially purchasing Newport at 13.1 x and 15.8 x EV/EBITDA with and without $300 million in synergies, respectively."
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Posted In: Analyst ColorNewsLegalAnalyst RatingsChristopher GroweConsumer StaplesDavid AdelmanMorgan StanleyStifelTobacco
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