UPDATE: Sterne Agee Initiates Coverage on King Digital with Neutral

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Sterne Agee initiated coverage on King Digital Entertainment
KING
with a Neutral rating following yesterday's 15 percent drop on the first day of trading. Shares are down another 2.6 percent in Thursday's trading. Analyst Arvind Bhatia sees two critical factors near-term for the company:
  • The decay rate of Candy Crush.
  • Growth in Farm Heroes Saga
The analyst noted the
Candy Crush Saga
represents 78 percent of fourth quarter bookings, and is “already tracking 20% below peak-booking levels reached in July 2013.” King Digital has 180 games, but revenue is “concentrated among 3 games, with represent 95% of bookings in 4Q'13,” said Bhatia. Bhatia is projecting “y/y bookings growth of 32% and 4% in 2014/2015, respectively and adjusted EBITDA growth of 24% and 2% in 2014/2015 respectively.”
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Posted In: Analyst ColorAnalyst RatingsTechArvind BhatiaSterne Agee
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