UBS Sees Developed Market Challenges in Home & Personal Care, Beverages Sectors

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In a note released Tuesday, UBS analyst Stephen Powers compared pre-recession performance in the Home & Personal Care and Beverages sectors to current challenges facing these companies. Before the 2008 recession, companies in the HPC and beverage groups were, “simple, profitable, and highly cash-generative businesses,” as well as optimistic about “ever-rising consumption” from emerging markets, according to Powers. Moving to present day, Powers sees the following challenges:
  1. “Developed market growth is likely to remain slow and price-competitive,
  2. Emerging market growth is also likely to face structural challenges, and
  3. External forces (e.g., regulation, taxation, commodity/FX volatility, new technologies, channels shifts, etc.) are going to make the operating environment consistently more complicated.”
Powers is a buyer of Estee Lauder
EL
,
Monster BeveragesMNST
, Church & Dwight
CHD
, and Colgate-Palmolive
CL
. Powers is staying on the sidelines on
Proctor & GamblePG
,
PepsiCo PEP
,
Coca-ColaKO
, Coca-Cola Enterprises
CCE
, and Dr Pepper Snapple
DPS
. He is recommending investors sell shares of Energizer
ENR
, Avon Products
AVP
, and Clorox
CLX
.
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